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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Leeds logo
Rotherham
vs.
Leeds
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 26.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 49.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 26.85%
    Leeds United 49.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.4%

Who will win Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham and Leeds?

Rotherham United
Draw
Leeds United
Rotherham United
9.5%
Draw
7.1%
Leeds United
83.3%
42

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Ajayi (28')
Robertson (79')
Klich (51', 86')
Casilla (90'), Phillips (90')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
2-0
Rotherham
Ayling (49'), Roofe (72')

Taylor (16')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Rotherham
Bartley (47'), Wood (66', 79')
Jansson (57')

Mattock (53')
Nov 26, 2016 5.30pm
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Wood (87')
Odemwingie (29')
Wood (14'), Doukara (45')
O'Kane (54'), Green (93')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Rotherham
2-1
Leeds
Frecklington (27'), Halford (90' pen.)
Best (44')
Derbyshire (61')
Murphy (79')
Bridcutt (57'), Bellusci (68')
Silvestri (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester16130329101939
2Ipswich TownIpswich16123136211539
3Leeds UnitedLeeds1694327161131
4Southampton169342726130
5Preston North EndPreston168442324-128
6Sunderland1682627171026
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom167542617926
8Hull City167542219326
9Cardiff CityCardiff167362519624
10Middlesbrough167362323024
11Bristol City166461616022
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn167182426-222
13Watford165652318521
14Stoke CityStoke166371618-221
15Millwall165561919020
16Norwich CityNorwich166282932-320
17Swansea CitySwansea165472221119
18Birmingham CityBirmingham165471922-319
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164482727016
20Coventry CityCoventry163761921-216
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield163671428-1415
22Rotherham UnitedRotherham162591532-1711
23Queens Park RangersQPR1624101127-1610
24Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds161312727-206

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