This match pits second-bottom against second in the table, and the worst performing defence against the strongest defensive record in the Bundesliga so far this season. Although the close timing of this fixture to the international break may favour the hosts, we can not see beyond an away victory.
Bayern will sense that they have a serious fight on their hands to oust Leverkusen at the top of the table in the coming weeks, meaning that they will not want to throw away an opportunity to move above them before Xabi Alonso's side play on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Koln has a probability of 23.51% and a draw has a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-3 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win is 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.69%).
Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
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